基于对象的诊断评估方法(MODE)降水预报检验
王雪莲;解以扬;李英华;陈敏;仲跻芹;
摘要(Abstract)：
通过对2009年7月23日一次降水过程的BJ-RUC预报进行检验分析,介绍了一种基于对象的检验评估诊断方法(MODE)。从检验的各种指标来看,对于这次降水的预报,22日20:00、23日08:00、11:00 3个时次的BJ-RUC预报的强度均偏弱,但23日08:00较好地预报了降水落区。MODE检验评估方法可以从降水落区位置、形态、走向等方面给出客观比较,且可以反映预报对实况的强度差异,更加全面地反映了模式降水预报的性能,更接近预报员的主观判断思维。
关键词(KeyWords)： MODE;降水预报;检验分析
基金项目(Foundation): 国家“十一五”科技支撑项目(2008BAC37B01,2008BAC37B05);; 天津市气象局项目(201002)
作者(Author): 王雪莲;解以扬;李英华;陈敏;仲跻芹;
Email:
DOI: 10.13989/j.cnki.0517-6611.2013.21.013
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